Reds Insider From news of the day to news of the weird, John Fay provides a glimpse of what it’s like to cover the Cincinnati Reds
John Fay has been the Reds beat writer for the Enquirer since 2001. Prior to that, he served in a variety of roles for the Enquirer: backup Reds writer, UC beat writer, backup Bengals writer and as a general assignment reporter. He is a Cincinnati native and a graduate of Elder High School and the University of Dayton.
Corey Patterson CF Juan Castro SS Ken Griffey Jr. RF Brandon Phillips 2B Adam Dunn LF Edwin Encarnacion 3B Scott Hatteberg 1B Paul Bako C Johnny Cueto P
wow John the game is on TV I had no idea.Are there any more games on TV the next couple of weeks?Good morining KevingMeyers, no offense but I sure hope that this is not our opening day lineup. it looks far less potent than it did last year.Patterson, Castro, and Hatteburg is very weak..I have not been following Votto , what happened to him, he was doing great last year
Votto is perceived as a slow starter, and its my beleif all along that Dusty would start Hateberg on OD, then ease in Votto. (no pressure that way)
Patterson has the highest batting average of Him, Freel, and Hopper, and lets not forget, hes Dusty's guy.
As Far as Castro, who knows? Kepp surely has done his job throughout spring, but Dusty seems to have some specific ideas about his shortstops. Hes not sold on Kepp.
Pray that it's not the opening day lineup. Castro batting 2nd is abysmal, especially after the other out-machine, Corey Patterson. These two have career OBPs near .300, if not less.
Nice job this morning on the radio John. It was nice that you kind of let it be known that if Fogg was to be dealt,not much interest is going to be there. At least for picking up a decent prospect.
I would think if The Reds(if out the race) would deal him,it would be in July when teams might be some what more in a desperate need of pitching. Same with Patterson if some one needs a bat and he's playing well.
Agreed it looks like the Opening Day line up. But with Keppinger at SS. Anyone think if Ross is not ready Bako will get the most time at catcher?
I agree on Castro's hitting #s, if Dusty starts him it wont be for hitting. Dustys not thrilled with Kepps double play mechanics, range. Really hes in a bad spot, its clear he wants Agon @ short, and Kepp in the utility role. But with Agon out.....
Well we will see.
W/ Patterson, Dusty has attributed his low OBP to him batting lower in the order for other teams, and trying to hit for power. He thinks that screwed him up a bit.
His OBP in spring is not listed on espn, but his batting is .438, so OBP must be at that or higher.
Hopefully Dusty's just getting Castro some work in. He just needs to be a late inning defensive replacement. Kep is no Ozzie Smith, but he's more than capable and his hitting will make up for defense.
Hairston and Patterson trade bait? For what? Some hot dogs? If anyone wanted them, they wouldn't have been available during spring training. Baseball GMs are smarter now. They see horrific OBPs and they pass on these guys. Getting on base and not making an out is the name of the game on offense.
Rarely, if ever, does hitting make up for defense at the position where more balls are hit than any other place on the field. Whoever dreamed up that concept of hitting making up for defense never experienced the wrath of a pitcher and the ire of an entire dugout.
In several ways, defense can impact a game and team more than scoring runs to win. Not making defensive plays can affect your pitcher's outing, tax the bullpen, burden the rotation, and cause your lineup to exhaustingly have to play catch-up.
All because your most important defensive player couldn't flip a double play quicker or get to a ball that leads to a force out that ends an inning, et al.
I agree w/ R, Any team that wanted them could of had them 2 weeks ago, and spring #s wont increase trade value, now if in July Paterson is batting say .350 with an OBP around .500, but at that point, why trade him, especially if your are in the race. Even if you are not in the race, Dusty wants him, so I think the Reds get an extension done.
As far as Hairston, he would be a sub and at that time of year, teams are looking for pitchers, and hitters (everyday players).
Is anything wrong with Kepp? Second day in row that Castro has played SS, after Kepp got 3 hits on Saturday.
This is what Im saying, its too early to be resting guys, so it sure seems like Dusty is looking for something from Castro; something he may not be seeing from Kepp.
I think some of yall just reflexively don't like Patterson and/or Hairston because they're considered "Dusty guys."
Actually, the Patterson signing was a very good move. Other than Bruce, the Reds really have very little OF depth in the system.
Patterson's a Gold Glove quality outfielder, he's still young, he's probably now the fastest guy on the team and if the Reds are unable to lock Dunn up AND the lose Griffey, he's your starting CF next year.
With Hairston, you get a very versatile guy like Freel, without the salary, and allows you to at least TRY to trade Freel to a team like the Rays.
I asked Keppinger about that. He said nothing's wrong with him. He's just getting a couple of days rest. It's not too early for rest. These guys have been going at it every day for over a month.
patterson is not remotely close to gold glove quality with that arm. just cause a guy's fast, it doesn't mean he's a good ourtfielder (see exhibit a, Ryan Freel). i don't think we have an above average OF on this team, though i do believe jr. could surprise, he really came on defensively in the second half once he figured out RF.
i hesitate to post for fear this wil lead to more josh hamilton lamentations.
"Actually, the Patterson signing was a very good move. Other than Bruce, the Reds really have very little OF depth in the system."
Have you been to the games? Patterson's arm is poor, he lets hits drop in front of him without making an effort and is suppose to have speed, that he has yet to show defensively. I was a big Patterson supporter because I thought his defense would earn him a spot. I have been very dissapointed so far, not impressive.
I do like the fact that he is beating out infield hits and trying to bunt to get on base. We will need his small ball game if he is going to lead off.
I think this lineup may well be the opening day lineup with the exception of Keppinger at SS instead of Castro. It does seem that Castro is getting extra time there lately but he's bound to pay for it at the plate as a result. I don't think Castro is capable of hitting well long term even in spring training.
I won't blast Dusty for putting Patterson in CF opening day either as I agree with him that we need a better leadoff option. I'm not convinced that Patterson will be any better than say Hopper but I'll give him the chance to prove or disprove it first.
I like where the rotation is heading but don't be surprised to see Belisle climb back in there if he can put together back to back good outings to close the spring. That's a BIG if I know.
Can't wait to see Cueto pitch tonight. Oh and I'll be there opening day how about the rest of your guys?
I think Patterson feels like hes on the team, hes swinging the bat well, and that matters most in ST. Alot of outfielders dont go full out in ST. (Unless their trying to make the team) Lets not forget hes only been in camp a couple weeks and may be holding back in the outfield to prevent hurting his arm etc..
I have to add my 2 cents on Patterson. His fielding is decent but his arm is very weak. This is an exaggeration of course, but there will be times when he'll make you wish you had 2 cut-off guys between him and where ever the ball is going.
Point being, Hamilton looked good in spring, so they played him.
This is one of the reasons you have spring training, to see which of your potential starters is swinging the bat well. If were going by past performance, Dusty would just sit behind a desk sorting through mountains of paper.
i don't mind patterson on the roster...just not as a lead-off hitter until he proves he can maintain a respectable obp. he'll be serviceable in cf - just as good as freel or hopper - but nothing special.
i prefer hopper as the lead-off man based on past performance, but doubt he's gonna hit as well as he did last year over the long haul, and if he doesn't, he's gonna struggle with obp unless he changes his approach and draws more walks.
i think if they could find someone to take freel's contract off their hands they'd want very little in return at this point. they can get comparable utility work from guys like kepp, cabrera, green, gil, etc for far less money.
I guess I'm just optimistic that Patterson's 2nd half last year was a sign of things to come.
He's got the talent. He was, I believe, the 3rd overall pick in the draft in, what, 1999? 2000? If he can put it all together he could be quite a steal. If not, he'll still provide quality depth and improve the Reds overall bench.
"Their historical stats that say they're no good."
Is that how Hamilton got into the lineup last year?
There were no numbers to use on Hamilton, other than spring training. He had no past and sending him to the minors wasn't an option. So he made the team and as he got some hits, he got more time.
Patterson and Hairston have a history of making outs at a 70% clip, thus their availability to any team late in spring training. I think it's good to have a guy like that around to play some D and run the bases, but by no means as a leadoff hitter.
This does look close to the Reds A team to me as well, with the exception of SS and C. I believe you will see Kepp at SS and Valentin at C opening day. Don't forget that righthander Webb is starting opening day, hench Valentin at Catcher. If Ross is not ready, than Valentin will get most of the starts. Bako has had some Defensive troubles and Valentin is a strong left handed hitter. Let Go Reds! Go nail down that rotation spot Cueto!
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48 Comments:
how is Castro's arm coming along? The Reds need his glove in the late innings.
Looks like the opening day lineup!
But with Harang of course.
Seems like Dusty wants to get a look at his A team vs a contender.
Hope the Tigers play their A Team...and Cueto gives them fits.
John, how many innings is Cueto slated to pitch?
Would love to see 6+
wow John the game is on TV I had no idea.Are there any more games on TV the next couple of weeks?Good morining KevingMeyers, no offense but I sure hope that this is not our opening day lineup. it looks far less potent than it did last year.Patterson, Castro, and Hatteburg is very weak..I have not been following Votto , what happened to him, he was doing great last year
Votto is perceived as a slow starter, and its my beleif all along that Dusty would start Hateberg on OD, then ease in Votto. (no pressure that way)
Patterson has the highest batting average of Him, Freel, and Hopper, and lets not forget, hes Dusty's guy.
As Far as Castro, who knows? Kepp surely has done his job throughout spring, but Dusty seems to have some specific ideas about his shortstops. Hes not sold on Kepp.
thanks kevin for the insight I have to run I will catch ya later
Just a couple days ago Dusty made a comment about sorting out the middle infield and we know he aint talking about second base!
Pray that it's not the opening day lineup. Castro batting 2nd is abysmal, especially after the other out-machine, Corey Patterson. These two have career OBPs near .300, if not less.
Nice job this morning on the radio John. It was nice that you kind of let it be known that if Fogg was to be dealt,not much interest is going to be there. At least for picking up a decent prospect.
I would think if The Reds(if out the race) would deal him,it would be in July when teams might be some what more in a desperate need of pitching. Same with Patterson if some one needs a bat and he's playing well.
Agreed it looks like the Opening Day line up. But with Keppinger at SS. Anyone think if Ross is not ready Bako will get the most time at catcher?
I agree on Castro's hitting #s, if Dusty starts him it wont be for hitting. Dustys not thrilled with Kepps double play mechanics, range. Really hes in a bad spot, its clear he wants Agon @ short, and Kepp in the utility role. But with Agon out.....
Well we will see.
W/ Patterson, Dusty has attributed his low OBP to him batting lower in the order for other teams, and trying to hit for power. He thinks that screwed him up a bit.
His OBP in spring is not listed on espn, but his batting is .438, so OBP must be at that or higher.
Yeah, Kevin. As long as Patterson hits .360, he'll make a great leadoff hitter. ;)
Hopefully Dusty's just getting Castro some work in. He just needs to be a late inning defensive replacement. Kep is no Ozzie Smith, but he's more than capable and his hitting will make up for defense.
Hairston is hitting .556 (in only 9 ABs) Good enough for 25th man, but lets hope not. Id much rather have Green, Rosales, or Cabrera.
Any thaughts?
Kevin, Patterson's spring OBP is .438, the spring stats are on the Reds web site.
I think Rosales has already been sent down. But, your right, unless a Dusty guy hits about .080, he'll make the team.
I like Kepp too, even better than Agon. I just think Dusty thinks a little dufferently than we do.
Kevin, Patterson's spring OBP is .438, the spring stats are on the Reds web site.
Thanks, so no walks, ESPN's site doesnt list walks either so I wasnt sure.
Could Hairston and/or Patterson be used as trade bait if they keep up the hot spring?
Hairston and Patterson trade bait? For what? Some hot dogs? If anyone wanted them, they wouldn't have been available during spring training. Baseball GMs are smarter now. They see horrific OBPs and they pass on these guys. Getting on base and not making an out is the name of the game on offense.
Neither Patterson or Hairston has enough at bats this spring to consider their averages or OBP as being significant.
Rarely, if ever, does hitting make up for defense at the position where more balls are hit than any other place on the field. Whoever dreamed up that concept of hitting making up for defense never experienced the wrath of a pitcher and the ire of an entire dugout.
In several ways, defense can impact a game and team more than scoring runs to win. Not making defensive plays can affect your pitcher's outing, tax the bullpen, burden the rotation, and cause your lineup to exhaustingly have to play catch-up.
All because your most important defensive player couldn't flip a double play quicker or get to a ball that leads to a force out that ends an inning, et al.
I agree w/ R, Any team that wanted them could of had them 2 weeks ago, and spring #s wont increase trade value, now if in July Paterson is batting say .350 with an OBP around .500, but at that point, why trade him, especially if your are in the race. Even if you are not in the race, Dusty wants him, so I think the Reds get an extension done.
As far as Hairston, he would be a sub and at that time of year, teams are looking for pitchers, and hitters (everyday players).
Neither Patterson or Hairston has enough at bats this spring to consider their averages or OBP as being significant.
True, MINMAN, but fact remains, OD is in two weeks, and what other info can Dusty use to set the lineup?
Hey John:
Is anything wrong with Kepp? Second day in row that Castro has played SS, after Kepp got 3 hits on Saturday.
I think Bako may start:
Bako .350 20ABs
Valentin .263 19ABs
Valentin will catch Cueto / Volquez of course.
If Bako, continues batting at or above say .275 and Harang, Arroyo, and Fogg pitch well with him, Ross will be the "odd man out"
Is anything wrong with Kepp? Second day in row that Castro has played SS, after Kepp got 3 hits on Saturday.
This is what Im saying, its too early to be resting guys, so it sure seems like Dusty is looking for something from Castro; something he may not be seeing from Kepp.
I think some of yall just reflexively don't like Patterson and/or Hairston because they're considered "Dusty guys."
Actually, the Patterson signing was a very good move. Other than Bruce, the Reds really have very little OF depth in the system.
Patterson's a Gold Glove quality outfielder, he's still young, he's probably now the fastest guy on the team and if the Reds are unable to lock Dunn up AND the lose Griffey, he's your starting CF next year.
With Hairston, you get a very versatile guy like Freel, without the salary, and allows you to at least TRY to trade Freel to a team like the Rays.
What's the problem?
I asked Keppinger about that. He said nothing's wrong with him. He's just getting a couple of days rest. It's not too early for rest. These guys have been going at it every day for over a month.
I am so glad the fighting back and forth has stopped.I enjoy reading all the posts. Just think guys 2 more weeks. Whos going to opening day?
You just have to wonder about Hairston though:
Has anything he has done good because of P.E.D's?
If so, what will he be without?
If he does struggle, will he try and beat (cheat) the system?
Same goes for Stanton.
patterson is not remotely close to gold glove quality with that arm. just cause a guy's fast, it doesn't mean he's a good ourtfielder (see exhibit a, Ryan Freel). i don't think we have an above average OF on this team, though i do believe jr. could surprise, he really came on defensively in the second half once he figured out RF.
i hesitate to post for fear this wil lead to more josh hamilton lamentations.
"Actually, the Patterson signing was a very good move. Other than Bruce, the Reds really have very little OF depth in the system."
Have you been to the games? Patterson's arm is poor, he lets hits drop in front of him without making an effort and is suppose to have speed, that he has yet to show defensively. I was a big Patterson supporter because I thought his defense would earn him a spot. I have been very dissapointed so far, not impressive.
I do like the fact that he is beating out infield hits and trying to bunt to get on base. We will need his small ball game if he is going to lead off.
Good convo today guys. Thank you John.
I think this lineup may well be the opening day lineup with the exception of Keppinger at SS instead of Castro. It does seem that Castro is getting extra time there lately but he's bound to pay for it at the plate as a result. I don't think Castro is capable of hitting well long term even in spring training.
I won't blast Dusty for putting Patterson in CF opening day either as I agree with him that we need a better leadoff option. I'm not convinced that Patterson will be any better than say Hopper but I'll give him the chance to prove or disprove it first.
I like where the rotation is heading but don't be surprised to see Belisle climb back in there if he can put together back to back good outings to close the spring. That's a BIG if I know.
Can't wait to see Cueto pitch tonight. Oh and I'll be there opening day how about the rest of your guys?
IMO,
I think Patterson feels like hes on the team, hes swinging the bat well, and that matters most in ST. Alot of outfielders dont go full out in ST. (Unless their trying to make the team) Lets not forget hes only been in camp a couple weeks and may be holding back in the outfield to prevent hurting his arm etc..
Bonds never had a great arm and won several Gold Gloves. Patterson's arm is as good as Bonds arm was in 1998, his last Gold Glove season.
I have been to several games this year, but none that Patterson has played in. I was going to the game today but something came up.
But I do remember Patterson when he first came up with the Cubs, and I don't remember him at all the way you just described him.
FYI
Pattersons Career Fielding % in CF .987
"OD is in two weeks, and what other info can Dusty use to set the lineup?"
Their historical stats that say they're no good.
"Actually, the Patterson signing was a very good move. Other than Bruce, the Reds really have very little OF depth in the system.
"
Freel and Hopper are both better leadoff options. Signing a guy with a sub-.300 OBP is never a good move.
I have to add my 2 cents on Patterson. His fielding is decent but his arm is very weak. This is an exaggeration of course, but there will be times when he'll make you wish you had 2 cut-off guys between him and where ever the ball is going.
Bonds fielding in 1998 .984
If Griffey and Freel are hurt, then Hopper is Freel and Bruce is Griffey. Patterson is a pinch runner.
R said...
"OD is in two weeks, and what other info can Dusty use to set the lineup?"
Their historical stats that say they're no good.
Is that how Hamilton got into the lineup last year?
Point being, Hamilton looked good in spring, so they played him.
This is one of the reasons you have spring training, to see which of your potential starters is swinging the bat well. If were going by past performance, Dusty would just sit behind a desk sorting through mountains of paper.
i don't mind patterson on the roster...just not as a lead-off hitter until he proves he can maintain a respectable obp. he'll be serviceable in cf - just as good as freel or hopper - but nothing special.
i prefer hopper as the lead-off man based on past performance, but doubt he's gonna hit as well as he did last year over the long haul, and if he doesn't, he's gonna struggle with obp unless he changes his approach and draws more walks.
i think if they could find someone to take freel's contract off their hands they'd want very little in return at this point. they can get comparable utility work from guys like kepp, cabrera, green, gil, etc for far less money.
I guess I'm just optimistic that Patterson's 2nd half last year was a sign of things to come.
He's got the talent. He was, I believe, the 3rd overall pick in the draft in, what, 1999? 2000? If he can put it all together he could be quite a steal. If not, he'll still provide quality depth and improve the Reds overall bench.
I think it was a good signing.
"Their historical stats that say they're no good."
Is that how Hamilton got into the lineup last year?
There were no numbers to use on Hamilton, other than spring training. He had no past and sending him to the minors wasn't an option. So he made the team and as he got some hits, he got more time.
Patterson and Hairston have a history of making outs at a 70% clip, thus their availability to any team late in spring training. I think it's good to have a guy like that around to play some D and run the bases, but by no means as a leadoff hitter.
This does look close to the Reds A team to me as well, with the exception of SS and C. I believe you will see Kepp at SS and Valentin at C opening day. Don't forget that righthander Webb is starting opening day, hench Valentin at Catcher. If Ross is not ready, than Valentin will get most of the starts. Bako has had some Defensive troubles and Valentin is a strong left handed hitter. Let Go Reds! Go nail down that rotation spot Cueto!
If this was the Opening Day lineup, the Reds have offensive problems.
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